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COMP
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hyperliquid · mark
$23.62
spread 12.3 bps
24h volume $3.6M
REAL · 1s old · 2026-10-20T13:24:43.697Z
Funding & liquidations
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All questions for COMP
26 questions · 16 askable now · 7 waiting on an address · 3 not available yet (liquidation tape BTC 5/24 · ETH 2/24 · SOL 0/24)
The ladder turns at 10,000 outcomes — 6,587 to go.
- 60m
S01Market regime
Probability distribution over the 60-minute market regime: trending up, trending down, range compression or range expansion. Exactly one label obtains.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S02Liquidation risk
Probability that perp liquidation velocity reaches twice its trailing-24h median within 60 minutes, conditional on open interest, funding and book depth.
Not available yet — the market-wide liquidation tape is being recorded from a named market-data provider, but it has not held 24 hourly observations yet — this question stays off the default rail until it does (0 of 24 hourly observations on the goldrush tape)
when available: $1.00 credits
- 60m
S03Long squeeze
Probability that long-side liquidation notional within 60 minutes reaches twice the trailing-24h hourly median. A long-unwind cascade.
Not available yet — the market-wide liquidation tape is being recorded from a named market-data provider, but it has not held 24 hourly observations yet — this question stays off the default rail until it does (0 of 24 hourly observations on the goldrush tape)
when available: $1.00 credits
- 60m
S04Short squeeze
Probability that short-side liquidation notional within 60 minutes reaches twice the trailing-24h hourly median. A short-covering cascade.
Not available yet — the market-wide liquidation tape is being recorded from a named market-data provider, but it has not held 24 hourly observations yet — this question stays off the default rail until it does (0 of 24 hourly observations on the goldrush tape)
when available: $1.00 credits
- 60m
S05Volatility expansion
Probability that realized volatility over the next 60 minutes exceeds 1.5× the trailing-24h baseline, both measured on 1-minute returns.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S06Funding anomaly
Probability that the next funding settlement prints at least 3× the trailing-7-day median absolute rate; unresolvable (not false) if no settlement lands in the window.
$1.00 credits - 24h
S07Funding persistence
Probability that an extreme funding rate holds the same sign at ≥3 consecutive settlements within 24 hours. A funding regime, not a one-off print.
$1.00 credits - 24h
S08Open-interest anomaly
Probability that at least one 1-hour interval within 24 hours sees open-interest change exceed 3σ of its trailing-24h rhythm, standardized by its own history.
$1.00 credits - 24h
S09Wallet accumulation
Probability that a tracked Hyperliquid account holds a long position in the coin at the end of a 24-hour window, with the position worth at least a quarter of the account’s own equity.
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when available: $1.00 credits
- 24h
S10Wallet distribution
Probability that a tracked Hyperliquid account holds a short position in the coin at the end of a 24-hour window, with the position worth at least a quarter of the account’s own equity.
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when available: $1.00 credits
- 60m
S11Transaction risk
Distribution over allow, review or block for a Hyperliquid account’s liquidation proximity: how close its nearest position sits to its liquidation price, and how leveraged the account is.
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when available: $1.00 credits
- 60m
S12Momentum exhaustion
Probability that momentum is exhausted: the 14-period relative-strength index at an extreme while the most recent 1-hour move is already smaller in magnitude than the one before it.
$1.00 credits - 24h
S13Volume drought
Probability that traded volume has fallen to under a third of its trailing-24h norm: thin participation that precedes gaps.
$1.00 credits - 24h
S14Liquidity migration
Probability that the market’s liquidity score has shifted by at least thirty percent from its previous 24-hour level — depth moving before price.
$1.00 credits - 24h
S15Basis stress
Probability that the perp-vs-spot basis is at least 50 basis points away from the index, a structural divergence from crowded positioning.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S16Spread blowout
Probability that the quoted bid-ask spread has widened to 10 basis points or more.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S17Book imbalance flip
Probability that the resting-depth imbalance has flipped sign: buyers’ resting depth has become sellers’, or vice versa.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S18Depth withdrawal
Probability that resting depth has fallen by at least thirty percent from an already-thin book: liquidity being pulled.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S19Liquidation burst
Probability that liquidations are clustered: a single minute carrying at least 3× the window’s hourly liquidation velocity.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S20Liquidation severity
Probability that liquidation severity reaches 15 basis points per unit liquidated: forced flow moving price more than a healthy book absorbs.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S21Mark-slippage stress
Probability that liquidations are printing at least 20 basis points away from the venue mark. The mark understating stress.
$1.00 credits - 60m
S22Liquidation side pressure
Probability that forced flow is strongly one-sided and hitting the side that was already crowded. The precondition for a cascade.
$1.00 credits - 24h
S23Wallet net outflow
Probability that a tracked wallet’s net flow is materially negative with an elevated distribution ratio — capital leaving with intent.
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when available: $1.00 credits
- 24h
S24Wallet concentration
Probability that a single counterparty accounts for at least half of a tracked wallet’s flow.
Enter an account address to ask this account question. Nothing is debited until one is set
when available: $1.00 credits
- 60m
S25Unusual wallet activity
Probability that a tracked wallet is doing at least three times its own recent normal. An unusual burst.
Enter an account address to ask this account question. Nothing is debited until one is set
when available: $1.00 credits
- 60m
S26Account deleverage
Probability that a tracked account’s exposure ratio has fallen by at least thirty percent from its prior reading — actively cutting risk.
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when available: $1.00 credits
Results load free from the shared decision history. Asking a question is the only paid action here — the price is shown before you ask, and a declined question is refunded. A question shown as not available yet has no live data source; asking it would only return a clear "no decision".
S01Market regime
distribution over regimes · 60m · COMP
No S01 on COMP yet. Nothing has been computed for this pair. The first ask is a paid one.
price $1.00
S06Funding
settlement anomaly · 60m · COMP
No S06 on COMP yet. Nothing has been computed for this pair. The first ask is a paid one.
price $1.00
S05Volatility expansion
60m vs 24h baseline · COMP
No S05 on COMP yet. Nothing has been computed for this pair. The first ask is a paid one.
price $1.00
S07Funding persistence
regime holds · 24h · COMP
No S07 on COMP yet. Nothing has been computed for this pair. The first ask is a paid one.
price $1.00
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Ask a decision
Runs one paid decision for this asset and uses credits from your address. A declined decision is shown with its reason and refunded.
Payment method
Enter your Base address once. When Tollbridge opens, your first 3 questions are free, and running a decision uses that balance. Typing an address here never approves anything: purchases are approved only from your wallet, on your own screen.
Every card loads its latest result free. The question sheet above lists every question for COMP — the available ones are askable with credits (the price is shown first), and the ones without a live data source state the real reason. A declined question is refunded.
COMP funding, read plainly
Current funding is +0.0013% per settlement interval, so long positions pay short positions.
Open interest on hyperliquid stands at $4,464,739 — open interest is contract count, not price sentiment.
Real venue read (publisher: hyperliquid), as of 13:24:44 UTC. Rates change every settlement interval; this page states its data age instead of implying a forecast.
Work the cost side yourself in the funding rate calculator — position, direction, interval — or inspect the whole live perp list.
COMP decisions on this page
The question sheet above carries the standard question set for COMP: market regime, liquidation and squeeze risk, volatility expansion, funding anomaly and persistence, open interest anomaly — each with its own window, live state and price before you pay. Wallet questions follow their own subject and live under the wallet lens.
- S01 Market regime — 60m window
- S02 Liquidation risk — 60m window
- S03 Long squeeze — 60m window
- S04 Short squeeze — 60m window
- S05 Volatility expansion — 60m window
- S06 Funding anomaly — 60m window
- S07 Funding persistence — 24h window
- S08 Open-interest anomaly — 24h window
- S12 Momentum exhaustion — 60m window
- S13 Volume drought — 24h window
- S14 Liquidity migration — 24h window
- S15 Basis stress — 24h window
- S16 Spread blowout — 60m window
- S17 Book imbalance flip — 60m window
- S18 Depth withdrawal — 60m window
- S19 Liquidation burst — 60m window
- S20 Liquidation severity — 60m window
- S21 Mark-slippage stress — 60m window
- S22 Liquidation side pressure — 60m window
How Tollbridge records the outcome
Every decision is recorded the moment you pay, settles against the market on its own clock, and publishes with its result — the misses and refusals included. That is the public track record; the scoring math (Brier, calibration, sample floors) is documented in how Tollbridge learns, and the proofs page carries the verification material.
The full research surface for COMP — history, watches and the question workbench — lives in the Workspace.
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